Tuesday, November 19, 2013

NFL Future Rankings: Week 11

Here is the 3rd installment of the NFL Future Rankings. A full analysis, including final record and playoff picture is included with this post. Enjoy!

32. Atlanta Falcons 2-8 (-1
This team has completely collapsed. If they're able to win another game then I'd be shocked. They got throttled by the Tampa Bay Bucs who until last week didn't know if they'd win a game all season. They have a ton of injuries, but as I said last week, so does New England. This is a year that has been completely shocking to Atlanta because they had so much promise and everyone expected them to contend with New Orleans for the NFC South. Final Record Prediction: 2-14

31. Houston Texans 2-8 (-3)
I tried to stay positive for Houston. I tried to hold off on saying that they completely collapsed and have no hope. I'm done trying. If Andre Johnson stops trying, then there is no reason for me to believe in Houston. When you give 10 years to a start-up franchise and it looked like it was finally going to pay off, then it didn't, Johnson has to feel like you put everything into a relationship and then found out you were dating a habitual liar. From what I saw on Sunday, Johnson thinks he and Houston should see other people. Final Record Prediction: 3-13

30. Jacksonville Jaguars 1-9 (No Change)
The Jaguars are kinda getting something figured out and hung around with a solid Arizona team for 3 quarters. I don't see anything amazing happening the rest of the season for Jacksonville and don't have much to say about them. My expectations were that they'd get the top pick in the draft but they have some easy games remaining and could get as low as a 4th pick in the draft. Final Record Prediction: 3-13

29. Tampa Bay Buccaneers 2-8 (No Change)
I see a bit of light shining for the Buccaneers but they don't have many easy games coming up like dysfunctional Miami or hopeless Atlanta. They could steal one against St. Louis, Buffalo, or even Detroit but that'd be a stretch for the Bucs. I think they've found something in a QB with Glennon and it's apparent that their O-line is solid because they can put in whoever from wherever and he can put up a career day. I like what Tampa has done the past two weeks but don't see any more W's in the win-loss column. Final Record Prediction: 2-14

28. Minnesota Vikings 2-8 (-1)
It's now clear that Adrian Peterson might be out for some time and is clearly banged up. AP is the only bright light from a skill position for Minnesota. If he decides to call it a year because we're already out of the playoff picture and I don't want to risk a more serious injury, then Minnesota is done. They become just as hopeless as Tampa, Houston and Atlanta. Even if AP plays again this year, they're done. Final Record Prediction: 2-14

27. Washington Redskins 3-7 (-1)
The past two weeks were opportunities for Washington to get back on track and control their fate in the NFC East. That time has passed. RGIII has appeared to regress once again and made an arid heave to the endzone on a 3rd & 1 that was intercepted. It seemed like Griffin thought it was 4th down by how he tossed it to the endzone. The Redskins are done this season and change is coming. Final Record Prediction: 4-12

26. Tennessee Titans 4-6 (-1)
For two weeks in a row, Tennessee has had a great chance to take control of the AFC Wild Card race and failed to do so. They had Indianapolis dead to rights and then in a span of about 1 minute, they lost the lead and the game was over. With Jake Locker out for the season, Ryan Fitzpatrick is doing a decent job keeping Tennessee in the games but they're still losing. They have an opportunity to win about 3 more games this season and go 7-9, they'll fall short of that though. Final Record Prediction: 5-11

25. San Diego Chargers 4-6 (-6)
Once again we look at a San Diego team that has had many opportunities to be contenders and failed. With Denver once and Kansas City twice on the remaining schedule, San Diego will be lucky to get to 6-10. It might be time to start a full rebuilding process. There should be a franchise potential QB for the future sitting there if San Diego can get a Top 10 pick. Final Record Prediction: 5-11

24. Buffalo Bills 4-7 (No Change)
I like the rest of the season for Buffalo. They have their star rookie QB back who has the potential to play well and bring Buffalo back to a playoff opportunity. Their remaining schedule includes no good teams other than New England week 17. I'm very confident that Buffalo can beat Atlanta, Tampa Bay, Jacksonville, and Miami. Final Record Prediction: 8-8

23. Oakland Raiders 4-6 (No Change)
I think Oakland has one more win left in them. Matt McGloin looked very good against Houston and while Terrelle Pryor has the athleticism, I think Oakland needs to look for a stable QB like a McGloin. The kid walked on in Penn State, then pretty much walked on to the Raiders. He's a hard worker. Final Record Prediction: 5-11

22. Miami Dolphins 5-5 (+10)
I took matters in to my own hands and punished Miami for their absolute lack of leadership, pure dysfunction, and complete idiocy. They beat San Diego and are still in playoff contention. They don't have an easy road the rest of the way as they face Carolina, Pittsburgh and New England, which should all be losses. I still think Miami is completely dysfunctional and won't win another game, but they got moved up 10 spots because they're slightly better than the mediocrity below them. Final Record Prediction: 5-11

21. Cleveland Browns 4-6 (-3)
I'll say it now. I was wrong. Cleveland couldn't hold on to the ball or get their offense going. They gave up 31 straight to Cincinnati and dropped themselves out of the playoff race. The road doesn't get easier for Cleveland and as I said before, they're still a year away. Final Record Prediction: 5-11

20. St. Louis Rams 4-6 (+1)
The Rams have a fantastic D-Line that make them capable of contending. The issue is that their schedule gets very hard in the coming weeks with San Francisco, New Orleans, Seattle, and Chicago this week. They have a chance to steal a game against one of these teams and should beat Tampa Bay. If St. Louis could get a franchise QB or possibly just a healthy Sam Bradford, then they could win some games next year. But, they'll have to wait until next year to get those wins. Final Record Prediction: 5-11

19. Baltimore Ravens 4-6 (-3)
The champs have struggled mightily this season and I think this is who they are this year. Flacco doesn't have the receivers that he needs to have big games, his offensive line has struggled, giving him no time to throw and having an inept running game. The defense is a glimpse of what they were last year. I think Baltimore  has a handful of games they'll win the rest of the way out. Final Record Prediction: 7-9

18. Pittsburgh Steelers 4-6 (+4)
Other than a blowout loss to New England, Pittsburgh has looked good the past few weeks. It helped that they faced Buffalo the week E.J. Manuel came back and then took on the Lions who never live up to expectations, but they are improved from their initial start. The Steelers have 4 division games remaining and then face Miami and Green Bay. The Steelers will have to win all 6 of those to make the playoffs. They'll fall a little short, though. Final Record Prediction: 8-8

17. New York Giants 4-6 (+3)
Is this a team of destiny? No. They don't do anything well. They're extremely shaky in every aspect of the game and because of a cupcake schedule the past 4 weeks they pulled back into contention. Eli stopped throwing 3 INTs a game and the defense found a way to stop someone. Also, the running game is getting more than 14 yards per game. People think this team will win 6 more and make the playoffs. I'm not going nearly that far. They'll win a few more and miss the playoffs. Final Record Prediction: 7-9

16. Dallas Cowboys 5-5 (+1)
Coming off of a bye week Dallas plays their most important game of the year. If they lose to the Giants they'll be tied with them for second in the NFC East. I couldn't be disappointed since the Cowboys didn't play this week but if they lose to the Giants I might have to put them No. 32 in the rankings. Three weeks ago, the Cowboys had the NFC East locked up but after losing two of three, the Eagles control the East. The Cowboys have been extremely average over the past 10+ years so I don't see that changing. Final Record Prediction: 8-8

15. Green Bay Packers 5-5 (-1)
Can they win a game with Scott Tolzien? So far the answer is no. They get Minnesota before a Thanksgiving match-up against Detroit and Tolzien is starting again. Aaron Rodgers should be back the week after that but the Packers may be too far out of the playoff race to have a chance. Once Rodgers comes back, I think they make a valiant effort but it won't be enough to make the playoffs. Final Record Prediction: 10-6

14. New York Jets 5-5 (-4)
This will be the only other time you hear me say I'm wrong in this ranking. I said Geno Smith wouldn't have another 3+ turnover game, well he surpassed my expectations and had 4. I thought maybe he had something figured out and was heading in the right direction but the inconsistency continues. One thing I stand by is that the Jets will eclipse .500 this season and make the playoffs as the No. 6 seed. Final Record Prediction: 9-7, AFC WILD CARD

13. Arizona Cardinals 6-4 (+2)
I pointed out last week that Arizona has quietly won 4 of 6. After beating the Jags by 13 they've now won 3 straight and are tied with San Francisco for 2nd in the NFC West. They get an Indianapolis team that hasn't looked great since beating Denver. If Arizona could win this week they'll have a chance of making the playoffs. They'll get close to sneaking in this year but fall short. Final Record Prediction: 9-7

12. Cincinnati Bengals 7-4 (+1)
I went bold and said Cincinnati would collapse and miss the playoffs. While the Steelers are coming on, they're too far back and I don't see it happening. Cincinnati got nothing from Andy Dalton this week and found 2 defensive TDs to accelerate a 31-0 run to beat Cleveland. The Bengals head into a bye week and come back with 5 games they could easily win. Bengals will get things figured out enough to make the playoffs. Final Record Prediction: 11-5, AFC NORTH CHAMPIONS

11. Chicago Bears 6-4 (+2)
Wind, rain and tornadoes couldn't stop the Bears on Sunday. Neither could the Baltimore Ravens. Josh McCown has been a great fill-in with Jay Cutler still injured and the Bears look like they're a formidable team. The sad part is that the NFC is better than the AFC and the Bears are going to finish on the outside looking in again. It won't be because they falter mightily down the stretch, they just don't have enough to get in. Final Record Prediction: 10-6

10. Detroit Lions 6-4 (-4)
They let me down but I keep the faith in the Lions. They should be able to win every game the rest of the way with their biggest test on Thanksgiving against the Packers where the Lions usually win. I'm going bold with these Lions and saying that they get the message about what happened in Pittsburgh and don't let it happen again. They have the best WR in the league and a huge weapon in Reggie Bush who can make big plays. Only two of their remaining games are on the road and they're at Philadelphia and Minnesota. This is probably the worst decision I've made in a while but, I'm fully supporting the Lions. Final Record Prediction: 12-4, NFC NORTH CHAMPIONS

9. Philadelphia Eagles 6-5 (+2)
This offense heads into a bye week on fire. Hopefully resting for a week doesn't extinguish it. Nick Foles looks great running that offense. He's got Riley Cooper and DeSean Jackson rolling and the best running game in the league thanks to LeSean McCoy. This team has figured it out and they'll get the job done down the stretch and make the playoffs. Final Record Prediction: 10-6, NFC EAST CHAMPIONS

8. Kansas City Chiefs 9-1 (No Change)
How about the great defensive line? I guess not. They got zero pressure on Peyton Manning and once they fell behind, the receivers couldn't catch the ball from Alex Smith. Don't fret though Chiefs fans. I think they'll beat Denver in two weeks and finish 14-2 and have home-field advantage in the playoffs. Final Record Prediction: 14-2, AFC WEST CHAMPIONS

7. San Francisco 49ers 6-4 (No Change)
What's going on with Colin Kaepernick? He seems to be struggling more and more each week. Since his 412 yard performance week 1 against Green Bay, Kaepernick has thrown for 154 yards per game. He's also thrown 8 TDs to 7 INTs during the stretch. These aren't the expected numbers of someone who people said would revolutionize QB position. It seems like the tape on him has allowed people to find his weaknesses and stop him. Also, the team around him and coaches deserve some blame because they've struggled the past few weeks. The 49ers need to get the running game going with Frank Gore, too. That week 1 win over Green Bay is what's going to give them the tie-breaker to be the 6th seed. Final Record Prediction: 10-6, NFC WILD CARD

6. Indianapolis Colts 7-3 (+3)
For a team that's been outscored by 60 points in the first half the past 3 games, they keep finding a way to win. The Colts have a few tough ones down the stretch but they always seem to come through strong when it matters and play to the potential of their opponents. They face the Chiefs in week 16 and that game will tell us how Indy matches up against the tops of the AFC without Reggie Wayne. A weak division will put the Colts at the No. 3 seed in the AFC. Final Record Prediction: 12-4, AFC SOUTH CHAMPIONS

5. New England Patriots 7-3 (-2)
Was it a penalty? Should they have played an un-timed down from the 1-yd line? I heard explanations that make the ruling acceptable and as Tom Brady said "that play isn't where we lost the game." With a tough loss to Carolina and Denver on the horizon, New England's defense needs to get healthier. The positive for New England is that Peyton always struggles when he has to go to Foxboro. I think New England once again finds a way to get a win at home against Denver and helps Kansas City become the No. 1 seed in the AFC. The Patriots are fine to make the playoffs and go in as the No. 2 seed. Final Record Prediction: 13-3, AFC EAST CHAMPIONS

4. Carolina Panthers 7-3 (+1)
Amongst all of this debate over the call at the end of the game is the fact that Cam Newton led a comeback game-winning drive against New England in the final minutes. I'm not sure what Carolina will have to do next to prove their legitimate but taking one of two against New Orleans will surely help. The Panthers can't have a hangover effect heading into two very easy games against Miami and Tampa Bay, though. If they get to 9-3 heading into their first battle against New Orleans, they should essentially have the No. 5 seed locked up. They'll take one of two against New Orleans and be the No. 5 seed. Final Record Prediction: 12-4, NFC WILD CARD

3. New Orleans Saints 8-2 (No Change)
They squeezed one out against the 49ers and control their own destiny heading into 3 games that will show where they truly stack up against the NFC. They travel to Seattle and then have two games against Carolina. They're a legitimate Super Bowl contender but they'll go 1-2 in those three games by beating Carolina once. Due to conference record, the Saints will beat out the Panthers for the NFC South. Final Record Prediction: 12-4, NFC SOUTH CHAMPIONS

2. Denver Broncos 9-1 (No Change)
The offensive line looked like the Berlin Wall in the early 1980s and let nothing through. For now they've proven they're the top team in the AFC but Kansas City showed me that the gap isn't very large. A few plays would have Denver sitting at 8-2. A rematch against Kansas City in two weeks after a tough game against New England will result in two losses for the Broncos and make them the best No. 5 seed in a long time. Final Record Prediction: 13-3, AFC WILD CARD

1. Seattle Seahawks 10-1 (No Change)
Nobody is close to the Seahawks. They destroy teams with their defense and have an offense that is only getting stronger with Percy Harvin back. I don't see anyone touching the Seahawks and they'll run straight to the Super Bowl with the No. 1 seed. Final Record Prediction: 15-1, NFC WEST CHAMPIONS


NFL PLAYOFF PREDICTIONS

NFC
1. Seattle Seahawks - Bye Week
2. New Orleans Saints - Bye Week

6. San Francisco 49ers @ 3. Detroit Lions
5. Carolina Panthers @ 4. Philadelphia Eagles

AFC
1. Kansas City Chiefs - Bye Week
2. New England Patriots - Bye Week

6. New York Jets @ 3. Indianapolis Colts
5. Denver Broncos @ 4. Cincinnati Bengals

Next week I'll make my selections for who will win the NFL Wild Card Weekend and set up for the NFC Divisional Round. This will be the last Future Ranking. Next week will be analysis if my playoff selections are still holding up or if things have changed. 

Feel free to comment! 

Tuesday, November 12, 2013

NFL Future Rankings: Week 10

For the second week in a row, here are the NFL rankings for all 32 teams. There are some movers and shakers and I'll show the ups and downs for each team next to their record! I would love to hear some comments and insight into your thoughts.

32. Miami Dolphins 4-5 (No Change) 
I hate to play the "I told you so" card but if you didn't see Miami struggling against Tampa then you weren't paying attention to all the nonsense that has surrounded this team over the past week and a half. I don't see things getting better for Miami because it seems like the organization is unable to admit their issues and clean this up quickly. When it came out that Aaron Hernandez was involved in a murder case, the Patriots cut all ties with him. This issue with Incognito isn't as serious, but if you keep him on your team and he's just suspended then you have to keep talking about him. If you cut him then your response is "he no longer plays for us, next question." Bold Prediction: Miami doesn't win more than 6 games.

31. Atlanta Falcons 2-7 (-7)
This team has completely flat-lined. They're done for the season and I can't keep blaming it on injuries. Matt Ryan has under-performed all season but we've tried to say he hasn't. Their top 2 receivers are injured was the excuse but New England managed through their top 5 receivers out of the lineup for 6 weeks and they survived it. Honestly, I don't think Atlanta was as good last year as we thought they were, they just fooled us with close wins. Now, I'm not sure they'll beat Tampa Bay this coming week. Bold Prediction: Atlanta finishes last in the NFC South at 3-13.

30. Jacksonville Jaguars 1-8 (+1)
If the game would have ended at halftime I would have moved Jacksonville up above 30 but they barely held on to get their first win of the season. I don't see them getting much more than 3 wins on the season and they'll probably be right there in contention for the No. 1 draft pick. Let's just hope they make a smart decision with that selection. Bold Prediction: Jacksonville moves to London or L.A. in the next 5 years. 

29. Tampa Bay Buccaneers 1-8 (+1)
Congratulations to the 2008 Detroit Lions, you're still the only team to make it through a 16 game season without a win. Also, Congratulations to the Bucs for getting a win against the most dysfunctional team in the league. Too bad you couldn't play Miami every week. On the good side, you get a terrible Atlanta team who seems to have given up on the season. If you can beat the Falcons, you'll have a great chance to not be the worst team in the NFC South. Bold Prediction: Mike Glennon is the QB of the future and plays Tampa out of a Top 2 draft choice. 

28. Houston Texans 2-7 (-5)
I had faith that the Texans could get things going in the right direction and beat the Arizona Cardinals. They came close but once again fell short. This team and Atlanta are mirror images to me. Both had great aspirations for this season. Some people had the two facing each other for a Super Bowl. Well, now they're facing off for the best draft choice. In all of this, I'm pretty sure that Case Keenum has kicked Matt Schaub out of town. Anyone remember when Schaub was backing up Vick in Atlanta? Hey, we made it full circle! Ed Reed also thinks the Texans have been getting out coached. I agree. Bold Prediction: The Texans salvage something this season and win 7 games. 

27. Minnesota Vikings 2-7 (+1)
While they got their second win against the Redskins this weekend, I don't see brighter days ahead of the Vikings. With Christian Ponder getting banged up again, it looks like Matt Cassel could get another go at QB, either way it doesn't matter. They need to give Adrian Peterson 30+ touches a game but their schedule doesn't get any easier from here. Bold Prediction: While I moved them up, I don't see them getting more than 3 total wins this season. 

26. Washington Redskins 3-6 (-11)
I held the Redskins in high regard last week and saw them getting to 4-5, but they failed to beat the lowly Vikings. They probably should have dropped lower but if they reel off two or three wins they'll be right there in the NFC East. I don't see that happening, though. Bold Prediction: Redskins see some changes, not to the name, but to the coaching staff. Mike Shanahan will be fired. 

25. Tennessee Titans 4-5 (-8)
They had an opportunity to be handed an AFC Wild Card spot and control their own destiny the rest of the way with a win over the worst team in the league. Instead, Jake Locker got a season ending injury, and with one-loss, Tennessee has collapsed out of the playoff picture. Bold Prediction: Jacksonville beats Tennessee again in Week 16. The Titans falter and finish below .500. 

24. Buffalo Bills 3-7 (-2)
While the offense punted about 50 times against the Steelers, I think Buffalo has a very easy road after their Week 12 bye week. If they could find a way to beat the Jets this week, they'll be 4-7 and have a real possibility to get to 8-7 against Atlanta, Jacksonville, Tampa Bay and Miami. Bold Prediction: E.J. Manuel gets his timing back and the Bills get to 8-8 and contend for a playoff spot.

23. Oakland Raiders 3-6 (+2)
A 4-point loss improved them two spots. No credit goes to the Raiders for improving in my power rankings, it goes to the Redskins and Titans for being so perplexingly bad. As I said last week, the road for the Raiders gets very difficult in the final weeks. Bold Prediction: The Raiders will get 5 wins this season and Terrelle Pryor's guarantee will come true. 

22. Pittsburgh Steelers 3-6 (+7)
The defense looked fantastic against a rookie who hasn't play in several weeks. I can't give too much credit to the Steelers but in a very shaky AFC North, they have a chance to upset some playoff chances for their rivals. With 4 of their final 6 against division opponents, the Steelers will decide who makes the playoffs in the AFC North. Bold Prediction: The Steelers will play a part in eliminating the Bengals from the playoffs.

21. St. Louis Rams 4-6 (+6)
This is a legitimate defense in St. Louis. If they could only find a QB who could make plays for them then they'd be a serious contender. What they did to the Colts was impressive. They have some tough NFC West games down the stretch with one game against each division opponent. Bold Prediction: Just like the Steelers, the Rams will decide the NFC West and keep San Francisco out of the playoffs.

20. New York Giants 3-6 (+6)
They didn't destroy the Raiders but they've won 3 straight. They still have a litany issues but they're in the NFC East, they're not out of a playoff spot by any means. They could win 6 of their final 7 games and be right there week 17 to get into the playoffs. The Giants really stretched their "start slow, get hot late" M.O. this season. Bold Prediction: The Giants will finish 9-7 but miss the playoffs. 

19. San Diego Chargers 4-5 (No Change)
They kept it close with the Broncos and may have helped their rival Kansas City out by aggravating Peyton Manning's ankle injury late in the game. The Chargers are the Cowboys of the AFC to me. They have a ton of talent, win games they shouldn't, then lose games they should win. They'll finish somewhere around .500 and if they can get their act together they might vie for a playoff spot. Bold Prediction: I don't have one for this team. They just anger me. 

18. Cleveland Browns 4-5 (No Change)
The Browns have Bengals, Steelers and Jaguars coming up next. If they beat the Bengals then they could be 7-5 and in control of the AFC North in 3 weeks. They'll need help from the Steelers and Ravens but their defense is legit. Bold Prediction: The Cleveland Browns make the playoffs.

17. Dallas Cowboys 5-5 (-5)
I said that I learned to never rank them too high last week but apparently I still ranked them too high. I didn't think they'd lose like that to New Orleans. They gave up the most first downs in league history and looked atrocious on defense. Also, Sean Lee might be out for the rest of the season. If that's the case then the Cowboys are done. They have a bye week coming up, then the Giants. Bold Prediction: The Cowboys once again finish .500 and miss the playoffs. 

16. Baltimore Ravens 4-5 (+5)
They fought off an improbable Hail Mary that forced overtime against Cincinnati and have the opportunity to get hot and make a run for the AFC North. Their schedule leaves the possibility to get to 9-7 but it could come down to a week 17 rematch against Cincinnati for the AFC North. Bold Prediction: The Ravens beat the Bengals week 17, which gives the Cleveland Browns a playoff berth. 

15. Arizona Cardinals 5-4 (+5)
Arizona might be the worst team in the NFC West but that still makes them a pretty good team. They've hung close with Seattle and San Francisco this season and they'll face them week 16 and 17, respectively. Arizona has quietly won 4 of 6 and have some favorable matchups against Jacksonville, Indy and Philadelphia. Watch out for the Cardinals to be contenders for the 6th playoff spot in the NFC. Bold Prediction: Arizona helps to knock the 49ers out of the playoffs, and potentially take a spot themselves.

14. Green Bay Packers 5-4 (-1)
They take a small drop with their loss to the Eagles and with Scott Tolzien as QB for at least two more weeks, it looks like the Packers are going to fall out of the playoff picture. They have a chance to control their own destiny with Chicago and Detroit still on the schedule but both games are on the road and we don't know what form Aaron Rodgers will return in. Bold Prediction: The Packers miss the playoffs this season.

13. Cincinnati Bengals 6-4 (-2)
Oh, Andy Dalton. We thought you might finally be stepping into an elite level of play. We were wrong. The Bengals have looked terrible over the past two weeks and barely salvaged an OT loss with a miracle tip drill catch by A.J. Green. They face Cleveland before a bye week and if they go into the bye at 6-5, they're in serious trouble of missing the playoffs and losing the AFC North to the Ravens or Browns. Bold Prediction: I hinted at it earlier, the Bengals will miss the playoffs and complete a total collapse that started with an OT safety loss to the Dolphins.

12. Chicago Bears 5-4 (-4)
A loss after a failed 2-point conversation attempt puts them a game back of the Lions for the NFC North. Jay Cutler may miss several weeks with a high ankle sprain and while Josh McCown is a great backup, he's still a backup. The Bears will hang around in the NFC North and Wild Card playoff discussion but we might see another strong start go to waste if they miss the playoffs again. Bold Prediction: Jay Cutler doesn't play another game the rest of the season.

11. Philadelphia Eagles 5-5 (+5)
Chip Kelly has the NFC East sitting in his lap and he has a great chance to look like a genius and have a successful first year as coach and make the playoffs. They could get in with 4 more wins if the Giants, Cowboys, and Redskins all knock each other off. Bold Prediction: The Eagles make the playoffs and win the NFC East with Nick Foles as QB the rest of the season.

10. New York Jets 5-4 (+4)
A bye week was just what the Jets needed. This was Geno Smith's week to have a bad game so if they skip a bad week, the back and forth rotation of bad and good from Geno Smith will give the Jets a 9-7 finish. That great defense gives them a chance to win every game. They gain four spots because the AFC Wild Card contenders around them have all been shaky as of late. Bold Prediction: Geno Smith won't throw 3 interceptions in another game this season.

9. Indianapolis Colts 6-3 (-5)
Even Reggie Wayne wouldn't have helped the Colts to beat St. Louis. The Rams dominated Indy and pointed out some major flaws for the Colts. Their offensive line isn't very good, and they have had some serious injuries hurt them this season. Kansas City is the only real tough test left on their schedule and nobody in the AFC South will catch them. Bold Prediction: There isn't much bold to say. The Colts will make the playoffs, and will lose to either Denver or New England in playoffs.

8. Kansas City Chiefs 9-0 (-1)
This week is the ultimate test for the Chiefs. If they can beat the Broncos then I will respect them and put them in the top 5. If not, then they are who I think they are. A fantastic defense that isn't doing enough on offense to be elite. Bold Prediction: The Chiefs beat the Broncos because Peyton Manning goes out of the game with an injury.

7. San Francisco 49ers 6-3 (-2)
Where'd you go, Colin Kaepernick? People were talking that you were the hardest QB to defend in the league. Carolina made it look pretty easy, holding you to 91 passing yards and keeping the Niners out of the endzone. If Kaep doesn't start performing better then the 49ers are in serious trouble. Even if he does play well they have four tough games coming up. Bold Prediction: The 49ers miss the playoffs and Jim Harbaugh is wondering why he sent Alex Smith away.

6. Detroit Lions 6-3 (+4)
Detroit's offense is explosive and their defense is capable of stopping opponents enough times to get wins. This looks like it could easily be the year that the Lions win the NFC North and make the playoffs. The Lions final 7 are all games where they could put check marks in the win column. Bold Predictions: Detroit wins the NFC North and finally live up to their expectations of the past years.

5. Carolina Panthers 6-3 (+4)
A cross-country trip to San Francisco resulted in a strong defensive performance and a 10-9 win. There is no rest for Carolina in their pursuit to be considered legitimate as they'll face New England on Monday Night Football. Cam Newton needs to continue to play well and get the offense about 21 points per game and let that defense go to work. Bold Prediction: The Panthers will make the playoffs as a Wild Card. 

4. New Orleans Saints 7-2 (+2)
At home this offense is deadly. The New Orleans Saints dominated the Cowboys and continue to dominate at home. The Saints still have 4 road games remaining on their schedule including a trip to Seattle. They'll have a home and road game against Carolina which will likely decide the NFC South, and this week face San Francisco. Bold Prediction: The Saints will finish 11-5 but still take the NFC South.

3. New England Patriots 7-2 (No Change)
They have two tough tests in the next two weeks then face cupcakes the rest of the season. If they can beat Carolina and Denver then they have a likely chance of going 14-2 and being the top seed in the AFC once again. Bold Prediction: The Patriots will make their way back to the Super Bowl again. 

2. Denver Broncos 8-1 (-1)
Peyton's ankle is what dropped the Broncos from the top spot. I know he has one of the most fierce work ethics in the league, but his age can restrict him and the Chiefs defense could leave him watching from the sidelines. Bold Prediction: Peyton Manning really messes up his ankle and misses more than just the rest of the game against the Chiefs.

1. Seattle Seahawks 9-1 (+1)
After two shaky games, it looks like the Seahawks got things back on track. With 4 of the final 6 games at home, Seattle has a great shot at getting the top spot in the NFC with a 14-2 or 13-3 record. The Seahawks face Minnesota then head into a bye week which comes at a perfect time. They'll come back and face New Orleans and San Francisco, wins in those games will secure the NFC for the Seahawks. Bold Prediction: The Seahawks secure home-field advantage and make it to the Super Bowl.

I'm going to hold off on a playoff standings this week because so much is up in the air right now. Next week, I will analyze the remainder of the schedule and give an in-depth analysis of the playoff picture.

Biggest Gain: Pittsburgh Steelers +7
Biggest Loser: Washington Redskins -11

Tuesday, November 5, 2013

NFL Future Rankings

A True Ranking of all 32 Teams in the NFL

In this power ranking, I am not focused on records and how each team has played to this point in the season. I am looking forward at what will be accomplished by the teams in the remainder of the NFL season and who are the top teams heading into the playoffs. I am ranking based off of who I think would win the majority of games against every other team in the NFL week by week. My top team will be a team that I feel could beat the other 31 teams 8 or 9 times out of 10. So, here is the official ranking from 32-1. Enjoy and feel free to comment.

32. Miami Dolphins 4-4

Yes, I know that they have a .500 record and are in playoff contention in the AFC right now, but a bomb just exploded in that locker room that I don't think they will be able to recover from. When you have two of your offensive lineman now off the team and a clearly disrupted and separated locker room, then you are in a terrible place to achieve anything throughout the rest of the season. Add into that the complete lack of leadership and you have the worst team in the NFL.

31. Jacksonville Jaguars 0-8

 I know that the obvious choice for worst team is the Jacksonville Jaguars but I had to go with Miami after my dissatisfaction of how much leadership they lack. Miami would probably beat Jacksonville by 10 points but I would rather be on the Jacksonville Jaguars than the Miami Dolphins.

30. Tampa Bay Buccaneers 0-8

One of two winless teams in the NFL and after such a heartbreaking defeat with a 21 point lead against Seattle makes it hard to believe that the Buccaneers will have anything left the rest of the season. If this team goes better than 1-15, I'd be very surprised. The only statement they have is that we held close with the top team in the NFC and maybe we can pull off a couple wins. At least they're my top Florida team. 

29. Pittsburgh Steelers 2-6

Oh how the mighty have fallen. The Pittsburgh Steelers were once noted for having the most dominant defense. The Steel Curtain, and the great defenses under Bill Cowher. We never give up a 100-yd rusher, etc. Well, times have changed. These days teams run wherever they want against the Steelers and on Sunday they gave up 55 points, the most in team history. The Steelers spent too much money in past years to keep aging players, their drafting has been horrible and I don't think the next few years bold well for them to be successful. 

28. Minnesota Vikings 1-7

They have one win this season and it was against the No. 29 Steelers. That isn't why I put them in front of Pittsburgh, though. I think that they realized that they have no leadership at QB so Adrian Peterson should see a ton of carries the rest of the season which gives them better chances to get a couple wins through the remainder of the season. It seems obvious now that the Josh Freeman experiment failed, so let Christian Ponder manage the rest of this season and head into the off-season hoping AP sticks around through a shaky rebuilding process.

27. St. Louis Rams 3-6

I don't really know where to put St. Louis and their almost successful play over the past two weeks. I know that they're better than the teams below them but I think Houston, the Giants, and the next teams right in this 6 or more loss category would beat them. Well that's about all I  have to say about the Rams...

26. New York Giants 2-6

Two straight wins before their bye week made the Giants look a little above mediocre and their future schedule could give them two more wins against a shaky Raiders team and an Aaron Rodgers-less Packers team. 


25. Oakland Raiders 3-5

The Raiders have shown glimmers of hope this season and Terrelle Pryor guaranteed they'd win more than 4 games this season. In order to do that they're going to have to win in the next few weeks before getting Kansas City, San Diego and Denver to end the season. I think they have a chance to show up and beat the Giants this week. 


24. Atlanta Falcons 2-6

A tough loss to the Carolina Panthers who have been on a roll as of late leaves Atlanta wondering where the magic went. With so many injuries and just an overall shaky performance week to week, it doesn't look good for the Falcons heading into the future. If they get Roddy White back healthy and Steven Jackson shows something from his days with the Rams then they could salvage something of this season. 


23. Houston Texans 2-6

I hope that Gary Kubiak makes a complete recovery and the Texans rally behind him and Case Keenum slinging it everywhere to comeback and get some victories this season. They've had a ton of close losses and I think Keenum is only going to continue to improve. I want to rate them higher but I just couldn't find another team to put below them.


22. Buffalo Bills 3-6

With E.J. Manuel back at starting QB and the solid running back play of Fred Jackon and C.J. Spiller (when healthy), I think the Bills have some opportunity to win games down the stretch. With Pittsburgh, Jacksonville, Miami, and Tampa remaining on their schedule, I see an 8-8 possibility in Buffalo. 


21. Baltimore Ravens 4-4

The defending Super Bowl champs have been anything but superb this season. I don't know if I can blame the loss of leadership on defense on the struggles or Anquan Boldin leaving, but something is wrong with the Ravens. I really don't have any hope for the rest of their season and think Cincinnati is pretty much secured of the AFC North, even if the Bengals only go 10-6. 


20. Arizona Cardinals 4-4

Here is another head scratching team. In their wins it seems like their opponents have beaten themselves. I think Larry Fitzgerald's injuries and Carson Palmer playing like Matt Leinart has really hurt a team with a solid defense and play making potential. I don't see them doing anything above average for the remainder. So, i'm predicting 7-9 or 6-10 type finish for the struggling and confusing Cardinals.


19. San Diego Chargers 4-4

This team has to be crushed after a defeating loss against the Washington Redskins. This team has been on the verge of something special since Week 1 but they haven't been able to do it. With 5 tough opponents remaining, I see the Chargers having another mediocre season and a 7-9 finish. They're so close to being a 6-2 team, but since they aren't, I can't expect them to start closing games now. 


18. Cleveland Browns 4-5

It seems like the Browns are once again a year or so away from making a real playoff run. They have such a strong defense that they always seem to be in contention and with Jason Campbell they seem to be more capable on offense. They have a handful of games they could win throughout the remainder of the season but they fall in the same category as Arizona and San Diego...not quite there.


17. Tennessee Titans 4-4

I like their remaining schedule and I think Jake Locker is becoming a quality QB. If they can get CJ2K going then they have a great chance to make a run for the 6th spot in the AFC. I'm not predicting they get it but they have a chance to be in the running in Week 16 or 17. 


16. Philadelphia Eagles 4-5

I'm not overreacting to the Nick Foles 7 TD performance but I am reacting to the Eagles very easy next 5 games. I have them winning 4 of 5 and getting to 8-7 before a toss up game against Dallas in Week 17 that might be for the NFC East. 


15. Washington Redskins 3-5

After squeaking out a win against the Chargers I think the Redskins may finally be getting things in order and with only two tough games remaining on the schedule, I think 9-7 and competition for another playoff spot is back in the Redskins grasp. 


14. New York Jets 5-4

At the beginning of the season I would have probably marked the Jets as the worst team in the league, at least bottom 3. But, they have found magic...every other week that is. If they can keep Geno Smith from multiple interception games then they have a chance to run off 10 or more wins. With Buffalo, Baltimore, Miami 2x, and Oakland remaining, things look good for the Jets behind their fantastic front 7. 


13. Green Bay Packers 5-3

I was tempted to put them even lower because they've been so injury riddled but without knowing the severity of the Aaron Rodgers injury, i'll have to hold off on a firm ranking for them. Either way I don't see them making the playoffs.


12. Dallas Cowboys 5-4

I learned to never rank the Cowboys too high. They always find a way to falter. I think they have a chance to win the NFC East but that's what we've been saying for the past 3 years. They've steadily been a .500 team the past 6-10 years. I don't know what to say about their future. They'll probably be 8-8.


11. Cincinnati Bengals 6-3

What to do as a Bengals fan? I guess hope for Andy Dalton to be successful and steady. Just when he's on fire, he goes cold as ice. Giovani Bernard had the play of the year in my opinion Thursday night, though. I think this team has the AFC North completely wrapped up but that doesn't mean too much going forward. They'll probably go 10-6.


10. Detroit Lions 5-3

An easy remaining schedule and troubles amongst the Packers means this might finally be the year that the Detroit Lions make it back to the playoffs and are able to host a playoff game! It's a joyous day for Detroit, okay maybe i'm building up too much hope for this frustrating franchise. If they go below 10-6 then something tragic had to happen because they are in a perfect spot with some easy opponents. Bets of luck, Lions!


9. Carolina Panthers 5-3

Their first of back to back tests is this week as they face the San Francisco 49ers and then the New England Patriots. If they could find a way to get to 7-3 I think they have a great chance to compete for the NFC South and make the playoffs. A 6-4 record would keep them in contention. Either way, I think they have the best defense in the NFC and an offense with explosive potential. If Cam stays solid and the run game keeps going, they're legit.


8. Chicago Bears 5-3

With Jay Cutler set to return in the next week or two they have a great chance to take control of the NFC North. I think they'll beat the Lions this week but I wouldn't bet money on it. Whoever wins that game is my choice for the NFC North. Right now i'm betting the Bears.


7. Kansas City Chiefs 9-0

Yep, the 9-0 Chiefs are the No. 7 team on my list. I know they're undefeated but let's look at the wins that they have. They beat Houston by 1, Cleveland by 6, and the Bills by 10 because of two defensive TDs. Getting 2 defensive TDs isn't something you're going to have every week and anyone other than Jeff Tuel would've made a better play than that straight to the defender pick-6. If they get to 12-0 then I'll say they're the best team in the NFL because they will have beaten Denver twice and got past a stingy San Diego team that was sandwiched in the middle. I would have a lot more faith in the Chiefs if they started to spread the field a little more and could do more than get into the redzone and kick field goals every time. We'll learn a lot about this team in the next few weeks. 


6. New Orleans Saints 6-2

If this team only played at home then I would rank them No. 1. They have been dominant at home and bipolar on the road. Darren Sproles, Marques Colston and Jimmy Graham were all out or injured against the Jets which played a factor into the loss against the Jets but the Saints have to do all they can to win road games and make sure they're the No. 1 or 2 seed heading into the playoffs because I don't see them going to Seattle or San Francisco and winning a NFC Championship Game. I still think the Saints are a dominant team moving forward but their two games against the Panthers will be a telling tale for how the two teams match-up.


5. San Francisco 49ers 6-2

The 49ers have been hot as of late but with wins against 5 struggling teams (St. Louis, Houston, Tennessee, Arizona and Jacksonville) none of which have a winning record, how confident can we be that they're for real. This week against Carolina will be the first true test for San Fran and then New Orleans the next week will really inform us of how strong the 49ers really are. 


4. Indianapolis Colts 6-2

They had a huge comeback after the Texans were stunned by the on-field collapse of their head coach. If that doesn't happen, I don't think Indy pulls off the comeback. But, I can't judge on what-ifs. The Colts would probably be the No. 2 team if Reggie Wayne wasn't injured but with him out for the season, I don't see the Colts winning another shootout with the Broncos, or against the Patriots, or even the Bengals in the playoffs. With Andrew Luck's ability to always find a way to win, I wouldn't be surprised if they somehow do beat everyone and make it to the Super Bowl.


3. New England Patriots 7-2

They continue to amaze me every week. It looks like they are fragile and on the verge of falling apart, people are asking if Tom Brady is losing it, and then they come and drop 55 on the Pittsburgh Steelers and Tom Brady looks like...well, Tom Brady. If there is any team that others should strive to be like, it's the New England Patriots. If you want to manage a company properly then look at the Patriots. They lose their top players, get to 5-1, get a couple guys back and are 7-2 and waiting right there in the wings to swoop in and take over the top seed in the AFC. 


2. Seattle Seahawks 8-1

This team has been shaky over the last two weeks but they've pulled off two wins and stay in control of the NFC. I badly wanted to put them as the top team but the injuries to their offensive line and the struggles the defense has had the past two weeks worry me about how great they really are. They should easily get to 12 wins with only two opponents with winning records (San Francisco, New Orleans) the rest of the way. If they can hang on to win the NFC West and take the No. 1 seed into the playoffs, they'll be a force to reckon with in the playoffs.


1. Denver Broncos 7-1

With John Fox requiring aortic heart valve surgery and now out for at least a month or more, none of the top teams in the NFL really stand out as being dominant. But, if there's a team that can get through without their head coach it is the Broncos. As much as I despise Peyton Manning, (don't ask why, I have never liked him, but I respect his talent.) he is a coach on the field and takes care of the offense. Jack Del Rio will fill in as head coach and still control defense. If the Chiefs find a way to stifle their offense then they'll fall from this top spot, but until that time, the Broncos have the best outlook because I think they are the strongest team in the NFL and that they'll beat the Chiefs, at least once, possibly twice.

Playoff Predictions

NFC                                       AFC

1. Seattle Seahawks 13-3                                                                 1. Indianapolis Colts 13-3
2. New Orleans Saints 12-4                                                             2. Denver Broncos 13-3 
3. Chicago Bears 12-4                                                                       3. New England Patriots 12-4
4. Philadelphia Eagles 9-7                                                                4. Cincinnati Bengals 11-5
5. Detroit Lions 11-5                                                                          5. Kansas City Chiefs 12-4
6. Carolina Panthers 11-5                                                                6. New York Jets 10-6

I'll update these if something drastically changes in the playoff race but as of now this is how I see it all ending, heading into the playoffs.